Publications
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| Number | Authour(s) | Title | Date | Published in | Abstract | Paper |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 735 | Daniel Kahneman, Maya Bar-Hillel | Comment: Laplace and Cognitive Illusions | (06/2020) | Statistical Science, Vol. 35, No. 2, 2020, pp. 171-172 |
Reports in the 1970s of cognitive illusions in judgments of uncertainty had been anticipated by... |
 dp735.pdf |
| 734 | Uri Zak | Female Chess Players Do Underperform When Playing Against Men: Commentary on Stafford (2018) | (03/2020) |
Stafford (2018) found that female chess players outperform expectations when playing against men... |
dp734.pdf |
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| 733 | Yigal Attali, Maya Bar-Hillel | The false allure of fast lures | (02/2020) | Judgement and Decision Making, Vol. 15, No. 1, January 2020, pp. 93-111 |
The Cognitive Reflection Test (CRT) allegedly measures the tendency to override the prepotent... |
dp733.pdf |
| 732 | Maya Bar-Hillel | The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments | (12/2019) | Acta Psychologica, vol. 44 (1980), p. 211-233 |
The base-rate fallacy is people's tendency to ignore base rates in favor of, e.g.,... |
dp732.pdf |
| 731 | Sergiu Hart, Dean P. Foster | Forecast-Hedging and Calibration | (11/2019) |
Calibration means that for each forecast x the average of the realized actions in the periods in... |
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| 730 | Sergiu Hart, Yosef Rinott | Posterior Probabilities: Dominance and Optimism | (11/2019) |
The Bayesian posterior probability of the true state is stochastically dominated by that same... |
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| 729 | Maya Bar-Hillel, Tom Noah, Shane Frederick | Maya Bar-Hillel, Tom Noah, and Shane Frederick, Solving stumpers, CRT and CRAT: Are the abilities related? | (10/2019) | Judgement and Decision Making, Vol. 14, No. 5, September 2019, pp. 620-623 |
Bar-Hillel, Noah and Frederick (2018) studied a class of riddles they called stumpers, which... |
dp729.pdf |
| 728 | Maya Bar-Hillel | Why didn't I see it earlier? | (07/2019) | Sternberg, Robert J., ed. My Biggest Research Mistake: Adventures and Misadventures in Psychological Research. SAGE Publications, 2019. |
dp728.pdf |
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| 727 | Maya Bar-Hillel and Jacob Lavee | Lay attitudes toward involuntary organ procurement from death-row prisoners: no, but | (06/2019) | Behavioural Public Policy |
A multi-item questionnaire concerning lay people's attitudes toward organ procurement... |
dp727.pdf |
| 726 | Maya Bar-Hillel, Cass R. Sunstein | Baffling bathrooms: On navigability and choice architecture | (06/2019) | Behavioral Public Policy Blog |
dp726.pdf |
